Putin Predicts Trump Will Deny Ukraine’s Request for Long-Range Tomahawk Missiles
In a striking display of geopolitical confidence, Russian President Vladimir Putin declared he doubts the United States will send Tomahawk cruise missiles to Ukraine—suggesting that President Donald Trump will ultimately reject Kyiv’s urgent request for more powerful long-range weapons.
Speaking at an annual Russian foreign-policy conference on Thursday, Putin warned that such a move would trigger a “qualitatively new stage of escalation,” but quickly added that he believes Trump “knows how to listen” and is focused on domestic priorities over foreign entanglements.
Why Tomahawk Missiles Matter
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has repeatedly urged Western allies to supply Tomahawk missiles, which have a range of 1,500 miles—more than seven times the reach of the ATACMS missiles the U.S. provided in 2024. These weapons could allow Ukraine to strike deep into Russian territory, including logistics hubs and command centers.
However, analysts note that Tomahawks are technically complex, in limited supply, and critical to U.S. naval operations—making their transfer highly unlikely under any administration.
Trump’s Stance: Shock Tactics or Strategic Restraint?
Vice President JD Vance recently suggested Trump might approve the sale of Tomahawks to European allies who could then transfer them to Ukraine. But Putin dismissed this possibility, portraying Trump as a leader who “loves to shock a little” but ultimately prioritizes America’s “national development goals.”
Missile Comparison: ATACMS vs. Tomahawk
| Missile Type | Range | Deployment | Current Use by Ukraine |
|---|---|---|---|
| ATACMS | ~200 miles | Army Tactical Missile System; launched from ground platforms | Yes (since 2024) |
| Tomahawk Cruise Missile | 1,500 miles | Naval launch (ships/submarines); precision-guided | No (requested, not approved) |
Geopolitical Implications
- Russia’s confidence in Trump’s restraint signals a strategic bet on U.S. isolationism.
- Ukraine’s frustration grows as Western arms deliveries slow amid political shifts.
- NATO allies remain divided on escalation risks versus deterrence needs.
Timeline of Key Events
- September 2025: Zelensky meets Trump in New York, reiterates request for Tomahawks.
- October 2025: JD Vance hints at possible missile transfers via European partners.
- October 3, 2025: Putin publicly predicts Trump will block the transfer.
