How did stalled talks turn into a deal between Israel and Hamas?

From Deadlock to Deal: How Israel and Hamas Suddenly Agreed to End the Gaza War

After two years of brutal conflict, mounting casualties, and repeated diplomatic failures, the Israel-Hamas war appears to be nearing an end. But how did stalled talks suddenly transform into a breakthrough deal? The answer lies in a mix of high-stakes pressure, geopolitical maneuvering, and one unexpected catalyst: an Israeli airstrike on Qatari soil.

The Turning Point: Israel Bombs Doha

On September 9, 2025, Israel launched an airstrike on a residential neighborhood in Doha, Qatar—home to senior Hamas negotiators. Though no one was killed, the move stunned the international community. Qatar, a key U.S. ally and host of a major American military base, was furious.

“Unilaterally bombing inside Qatar, a Sovereign Nation and close Ally of the United States… does not advance Israel or America’s goals,” President Trump wrote on social media.

That strike, intended to weaken Hamas, instead backfired—galvanizing U.S. diplomats to force a resolution. Trump and his team, embarrassed by the breach of a trusted partner, turned up the heat on Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.

Trump’s 20-Point Peace Plan Enters the Fray

Just weeks later, on September 29, Trump unveiled a sweeping Israel-Hamas ceasefire framework at the White House—with Netanyahu standing beside him. The 20-point plan called for:

  • Immediate release of all remaining hostages (living and deceased)
  • Israeli troop pullback from Gaza
  • Disarmament of Hamas and its removal from governance
  • Creation of a “Board of Peace” chaired by Trump, with Tony Blair as co-leader
  • Rebuilding Gaza as a “deradicalized, terror-free zone”

Crucially, the plan offered Hamas a way out: no forced displacement of Gazans, safe passage for those who wish to leave, and international aid for reconstruction—provided they complied.

Pressure Mounts on Both Sides

Trump didn’t stop there. On October 4, he issued a blunt ultimatum: “Many more of your fighters will be killed if you don’t agree by Sunday.”

Hamas responded the same day, agreeing in principle to release all hostages—but requesting negotiations on implementation details. That small opening was enough.

By October 6, high-level talks resumed in Sharm el-Sheikh, Egypt, with U.S. envoy Steve Witkoff, Jared Kushner, Qatar’s prime minister, and Israeli adviser Ron Dermer all present. The mood, according to sources, was “urgent but hopeful.”

What the Deal Actually Says

While full details remain classified, officials confirm the first phase includes:

  • All ~20 living hostages released at once—likely on Sunday
  • Remains of up to 28 deceased hostages returned in stages
  • Israel releases 250 Palestinian prisoners serving life sentences + 1,700 Gazans detained since Oct. 7, 2023
  • For every Israeli body returned, Israel gives back remains of 15 deceased Gazans

Table: Timeline of the Ceasefire Breakthrough

Date Key Event
Sept. 9, 2025 Israel bombs Hamas-linked site in Doha, Qatar
Sept. 23, 2025 Trump convenes Arab leaders at UN to build support for peace plan
Sept. 29, 2025 Trump unveils 20-point ceasefire plan with Netanyahu at White House
Oct. 4, 2025 Trump issues 72-hour ultimatum to Hamas
Oct. 6–7, 2025 Final negotiations in Egypt; agreement reached
Oct. 8, 2025 Israel and Hamas publicly confirm deal

Sticking Points Remain

Despite the breakthrough, major questions linger. Will Hamas actually disarm? Will Israel fully withdraw? And who will govern Gaza?

The Trump plan envisions a temporary “International Stabilization Force” and a technocratic Palestinian committee—but no immediate path to a Palestinian state. Hamas has historically rejected disarmament, and far-right members of Israel’s cabinet oppose any withdrawal.

Still, families of hostages are celebrating. “I am faithful that I will be able to see my brother’s smiling face,” said Pushpa Joshi, sister of Bipin Joshi, held since October 7, 2023.

Sources

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