After Volatile Summer, Trump’s Approval Remains Low but Stable, Poll Finds

Trump’s Approval Is Rock-Bottom—Yet GOP Loyalty Hasn’t Budged. Here’s Why.

Despite Government Shutdown Chaos, Trump Holds 90% of GOP Support

A new New York Times/Siena College poll reveals a striking paradox in American politics: President Donald J. Trump’s overall approval rating remains low amid a volatile summer of economic uncertainty and looming government shutdown—but his grip on Republican voters is stronger than ever.

Key Poll Findings

  • Overall approval: Just 41% of Americans approve of Trump’s job performance.
  • Republican support: 90% of G.O.P. voters back the president—unchanged from earlier this year.
  • Independent voters: Only 38% approve, down 5 points since June.
  • Government shutdown: Begins Wednesday, yet 72% of Republicans say they blame Democrats for the impasse.
Bar chart showing Trump approval ratings by party affiliation
Trump’s approval remains deeply polarized along party lines. (Credit: NYT/Siena Poll)

Why GOP Loyalty Endures

Political analysts point to several factors keeping Republican voters locked in:

  1. Media echo chambers: Conservative outlets continue to frame Trump as under siege by “elites” and “deep state” actors.
  2. Cultural identity: For many GOP voters, supporting Trump is less about policy and more about defending a worldview.
  3. Lack of viable alternatives: No major Republican challenger has emerged ahead of the 2028 primary cycle.

Approval Breakdown by Demographic

Group Approve Disapprove
Republicans 90% 8%
Democrats 7% 92%
Independents 38% 59%
White Evangelicals 86% 12%

What This Means Ahead of the Shutdown

With a federal government shutdown set for Wednesday, the poll underscores a political reality: Trump’s base isn’t swayed by institutional crises. Instead, they see conflict as proof of his willingness to “fight.”

For more on how partisanship shapes public opinion, see our deep dive on [INTERNAL_LINK:political-polarization].

Sources

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